Economy

Stay up to date with insights into the global and local Australian economy.

General Econonic Outlook

US-China trade war escalating

US-China trade war escalating

(Reading time: 6 - 11 minutes)

and triggering (another) correction in the share markets...

Key points

  • The trade war between the US and China is escalating, posing a rising threat to global growth.
  • Although we remain of the view that a deal will be reached, the risk has increased.
The Economic Update - 1 July 2019

The Economic Update - 1 July 2019

(Reading time: 1 minute)
<3 class="lead">Happy end of financial year! Bill Bracey of Sydney Financial Planning provides an economic update for the new financial year (July 2019).</3>
The Fed and Market Turmoil

The Fed and Market Turmoil

(Reading time: 5 - 10 minutes)

...the Fed turns a bit dovish but not enough (yet)

Key points

  • The Fed has raised interest rates for the ninth time since first raising rates this cycle three years ago, taking the Fed Funds rate from a range of 2-2.25% to 2.25-2.5% reflecting ongoing confidence in US growth. 
2017-18 - a good year for diversified investors

2017-18 - a good year for diversified investors

(Reading time: 5 - 10 minutes)

...but there’s a few storm clouds around.

Key points

  • 2017-18 saw strong returns for diversified investors, but it was a story of two halves with strong December half returns but more volatility in the past 6 months.
A Practical Budget Summary

A Practical Budget Summary

(Reading time: 2 - 3 minutes)

A simple and practical summary of main changes involving majority of our clients.

Remember, at this stage these are just proposals and not yet law, which means things could change as legislation passes through parliament.

Will Australian House Prices Crash? Five reasons why it’s more complicated than you think!

Will Australian House Prices Crash? Five reasons why it’s more complicated than you think!

(Reading time: 5 - 10 minutes)

Over the past 5 years, I have written annually where I thought the property market was, and what was likely to happen moving forward. So far I’ve had a 100% success rate. I guess I wouldn’t be writing this if I got it wrong.

From goldilocks to taper tantrum 2.0 - a bit of turbulence hits markets. 3 reasons not to be fussed

From goldilocks to taper tantrum 2.0 - a bit of turbulence hits markets. 3 reasons not to be fussed

(Reading time: 6 - 11 minutes)

...a bit of turbulence hits markets. 3 reasons not to be fussed.

Key Points

  • Central banks beyond the US are edging towards an exit from easy money. This is likely to cause bouts of volatility in shares and a rising trend in bond yields.